Intercontinental Final
Global 2-3
Panathinaikos vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
90%
7%
4%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
PAN
3 - 0
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 1
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
PAN
0 - 0
EVE
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 1
PAN
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1971 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAL
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 0
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |