Champions League 1/16
Global 1-4
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAN
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAN
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
PAN
1 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
PAN
90%
7%
4%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
PAN
3 - 0
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
PAN
1 - 2
CSK
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
CSK
0 - 2
AKA
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
ETA
2 - 2
CSK
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAN
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |