Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Panathinaikos vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 1
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
PAN
0 - 0
EVE
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 1
PAN
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
SBR
2 - 1
PAN
62%
21%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
PAN
3 - 0
SBR
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 1
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
CRV
4 - 0
CZJ
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 2
CRV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
UTA
1 - 3
CRV
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CRV
3 - 0
UTA
63%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |