Europa League Last 16
Global 7-6
Panathinaikos vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
PAN
1 - 0
DIA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
ARI
2 - 0
PAN
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
BUD
5 - 2
PAN
30%
31%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
PAN
2 - 0
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
OLP
1 - 4
PAN
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
BUD
5 - 2
PAN
30%
31%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
BUD
3 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 2
BUD
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
LOK
0 - 0
BUD
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
BUD
1 - 0
LOK
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |