Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-1
Panathinaikos vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 0
PAN
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AEP
0 - 0
PAN
6%
16%
78%
|
82 | 12 | 70 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ARI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 3
BOT
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOT
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLK
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
BPL
3 - 2
BOT
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | -1 |