Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
3º
34
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 55 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 51 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 39 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 31 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 20 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 4
CHL
11%
19%
71%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OFI
0 - 1
PAN
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
OLP
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
KAL
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
LAM
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 1
ARI
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
OLP
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |