Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
KAL
0 - 2
PAN
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
IRA
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 1
PAN
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
1 - 0
KER
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SEV
2 - 0
PAN
68%
21%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ION
2 - 1
ARI
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
APO
1 - 1
ARI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ARI
3 - 2
OFI
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
ARI
0 - 0
APO
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |