Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
4º
4º
78
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 3
PAO
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 3
PAN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OFI
2 - 2
PAN
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
ARI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
KIF
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
AEK
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 3
AEK
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 2
GIA
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |