Panama vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
PAN
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
BHR
5 - 0
PAN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 1
TTO
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLV
78%
16%
7%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
SLV
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SLV
0 - 1
PAN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
PAN
3 - 0
SLV
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |