Panama vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 0
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 1
MEX
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
CRC
5 - 1
PAN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 0
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
75%
17%
7%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |