WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 7-0
Panama vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
PAN
4 - 1
BMU
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
3 - 0
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
GRD
2 - 0
LCA
67%
17%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LCA
9 - 0
VGB
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VCT
1 - 1
LCA
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
LCA
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |