Panama vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 1
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 2
GLP
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 2
HND
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
HTI
1 - 1
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
JAM
3 - 2
PAN
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
GLP
2 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 2
MEX
3%
11%
87%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
GTM
8%
18%
74%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
69%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HND
4 - 1
NIC
91%
8%
2%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | 0 |