Panama vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
PAN
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
2 - 1
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 99 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PAN
0 - 0
TTO
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CRC
1 - 0
NIC
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 2
HND
3%
10%
87%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
NIC
0 - 6
PAN
14%
21%
64%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |