Panama vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
JAM
0 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 2
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
SLV
3 - 1
PAN
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 1
HND
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 2
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HND
3 - 0
NIC
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
SLV
1 - 0
NIC
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |