Panama vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
0 - 0
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
3 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 5
ESP
5%
14%
81%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
HND
8 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PAN
0 - 0
HND
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
HND
1 - 0
CUB
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |