Central American Cup Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 2-3
Panama vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1987 |
DOM
0 - 1
PAN
54%
21%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAN
54%
21%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
PAN
1 - 1
CRC
7%
17%
76%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
PAN
0 - 1
CUB
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1984 |
PAN
1 - 1
CUB
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
SLV
0 - 0
HND
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
HND
0 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1988 |
HND
0 - 2
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1988 |
HND
0 - 0
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1988 |
HND
0 - 1
ECU
72%
17%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |