Panama vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SLV
0 - 1
PAN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
GTM
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ECU
2 - 0
PAN
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ECU
2 - 0
PAN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
IRN
1 - 0
PAN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
SLV
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
1 - 2
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
1 - 2
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CRC
3 - 3
HTI
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |