Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
14º
9º
34
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 51 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 39 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panetolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OLP
0 - 0
PGE
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
3 - 0
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAO
2 - 0
PGE
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATR
2 - 0
PGE
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
TRI
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
TRI
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
VNF
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
TRI
71%
20%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |