Panadería Pulido vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
7º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panadería Pulido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 1
UDG
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNV
0 - 1
PAN
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 3
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CPC
4 - 2
PAN
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PAN
3 - 3
CCF
11%
22%
67%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 1
ARU
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ARU
1 - 0
CSU
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
VSB
2 - 0
ARU
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 2
UDG
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
ARU
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |