CD Pamplona vs Gares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
10º
16
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 65 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 62 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 40 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 32 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 29 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 20 |
18º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Pamplona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAM
2 - 2
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAM
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAM
0 - 0
COR
46%
27%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
PAM
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PAM
2 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 2
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
GAR
58%
23%
18%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 3
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SJU
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +2 |