Pampilhosa vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
PAM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
PAM
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 0
ADN
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
PAM
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 0
TOU
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOU
3 - 4
GOU
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RDA
3 - 2
TOU
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 2
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |