Pampilhosa vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 0
ACA
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
OLI
4 - 2
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 0
POM
54%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
PAM
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
POM
4 - 0
TOU
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
TOU
49%
27%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |