Pampilhosa vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 3
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 1
NAV
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIZ
2 - 0
PAM
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
PAM
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
3 - 0
PAM
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
UNM
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
ADM
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |