Pampilhosa vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
PAM
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
ADN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
TOU
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
POM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ADN
3 - 2
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |