Pampilhosa vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
PAM
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 0
PAM
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
VIT
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAM
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
SOU
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
OLI
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 0
MOR
79%
15%
6%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
BEN
15%
22%
64%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
FAF
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |