Pampilhosa vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ANA
3 - 0
PAM
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 2
SAO
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAM
5 - 5
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ACV
3 - 1
PAM
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 0
TOC
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
ADN
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ESP
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CES
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |