Pampilhosa vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
PAM
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
ESP
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 0
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 2
ADN
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
BUS
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 2
ANA
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |