Pampilhosa vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
PAM
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAM
3 - 1
GOU
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAM
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PAM
3 - 0
ADN
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
ADN
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GOU
1 - 0
ADN
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 3
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ADN
0 - 0
ARO
56%
21%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
ADN
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |