Pampilhosa vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 3
PAM
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
PAM
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
5 - 0
ANA
50%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAM
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
ADN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ADN
3 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
ADN
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
CES
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
ADN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |