Paloma Hamburg vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
8º
6º
54
6º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
VHG
0 - 3
PAL
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 3
WAN
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
EIM
0 - 2
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DAS
6 - 0
PAL
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
BUC
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
SAS
27%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
WIL
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 5
SUD
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
OSD
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 3
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |