Paloma Hamburg vs HEBC Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
8º
6º
47
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 2
PAL
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
RUG
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
HEB
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 2
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 3
BUC
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
HEB
42%
21%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
HEB
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 2
HEB
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
HEB
4 - 2
CUR
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 3
DAS
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |