Paloma Hamburg vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
16º
9º
15
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 80 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 79 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 60 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 59 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 54 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 0
ITK
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
NIE
2 - 2
PAL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
DAS
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
PAL
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
6 - 1
PAL
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
DAS
4 - 2
BUC
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
THA
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
BUC
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
5 - 2
ATB
64%
18%
19%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 1
BUC
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |