Paloma Hamburg vs Altona 93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
16º
4º
56
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 85 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 77 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 74 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 60 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 53 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 48 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 42 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
17º
|
74% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
PAL
33%
21%
46%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 2
ETH
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
PAL
22%
20%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
HAL
54%
20%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DAS
3 - 1
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Altona 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
SUD
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 3
ALT
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 3
EIM
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALT
18%
22%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
VOW
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |