El Palo FC vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
0 - 0
PAL
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAR
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RON
1 - 2
PAL
46%
23%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
MOT
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOT
4 - 0
HUE
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
MOT
24%
25%
50%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
LOJ
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |