El Palo FC vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
ANT
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
6 - 0
ATA
70%
17%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 3
VEL
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 0
HUE
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
LOJ
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 0
DHE
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MOT
2 - 0
LOJ
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LOJ
4 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |