El Palo FC vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIJ
2 - 1
PAL
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 3
ANT
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HUE
3 - 1
PAL
38%
25%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CÉL
0 - 3
LOJ
11%
25%
64%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RON
3 - 2
LOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |