Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 7-2
El Palo FC vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
PAL
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
VEL
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AND
1 - 1
JUM
54%
23%
22%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 1
AND
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JUM
2 - 0
PUL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EGP
2 - 1
JUM
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |