El Palo FC vs Casino Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOJ
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 2
HUE
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Casino Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
HUE
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |