Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
El Palo FC vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
VEL
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 0
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UNA
0 - 3
BUR
21%
26%
53%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 0
CUE
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ACF
1 - 0
BUR
42%
28%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |