El Palo FC vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
UDS
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NIJ
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
EST
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUE
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 2
MAN
24%
26%
49%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOT
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |