El Palo FC vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CÉL
0 - 3
PAL
12%
20%
67%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RON
2 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 0
CÉL
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
MAN
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
RON
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |