Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 1-1
El Palo FC vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 3
CPC
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
SEV
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
XER
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
ALC
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
CEU
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAB
42%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |