Palmese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+296%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
REN
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 0
PAL
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAV
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SCO
85%
12%
4%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
SIR
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
NFR
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
USV
0 - 3
SIR
12%
22%
66%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |