Palmese vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PAL
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
ROC
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 2
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
ASS
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
REN
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 0
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCI
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |