Palmese vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEL
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 3
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CCI
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 4
USV
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AEE
3 - 2
ROC
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 3
ACP
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |