Palmese vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 2
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
ASS
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 2
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 2
SCO
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
ROC
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NFR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |