Palmese vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAR
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
DTO
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 2
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
ROC
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NFR
3 - 2
ROC
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |