Palmese vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REG
4 - 3
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
AGR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
PAL
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NFR
2 - 1
PAL
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 0
SCO
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
NFR
30%
23%
48%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
USV
0 - 0
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SIR
9%
20%
71%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |