Palmese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
83%
14%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROT
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAL
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
ASD
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
POR
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
GEL
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 0
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |