Palmese vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
EBO
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 3
PAL
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
AEE
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MES
4 - 4
PAL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 1
CAV
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
CIT
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
1 - 1
REN
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
CIT
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |